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The High-Tech Hangover 13 March 2001 Edition
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Million $ Ideas
At last, the contents of Aardvark's "million-dollar ideas" notebook are revealed for all to see!
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The big news in the USA this morning is the fact that the NASDAQ index of technology stocks has dipped below the 2000 mark -- just a year after it was bouncing around at the 5,000 level.

In fact, if you were a US tech investor it would certainly be a good day for taking a valium and going to bed in the hope that things will be better tomorrow.

Everywhere you look it's more bad news from the tech sector. Even the darling children of the Net boom such as Yahoo and Cisco have issued strong earnings warnings and announced cut-backs while the heads of both Amazon and Oracle are now the targets of either government scrutiny or private lawsuits for the way they have handled their own stock portfolios.

Meanwhile, half a world away, New Zealanders smile quietly to themselves as the ride the crest of a mini economic boom brought about by climbing export receipts for primary produce.

Should we feel smug that our failure to jump onboard the new economy freight train two or three years ago has actually worked in our favour right now?

Even our close neigbbour Australia is teetering on the edge of what could be a nasty recession while we continue doing better and better by shipping dead animals and their various components to markets around the globe.
Readers Say
(updated hourly)

From yesterday... making money from online publishing... - Spiro

website stuff... - Bede

Profit from Content... - Daniel

Subscriptions for Aardvark... - Grizzz

Online publishing profits... - Charlie

Internet news for profit... - Brian

Make Money @ Aardvark... - Rob

Making money... - Grant

revenue... - Matt

Have Your Say

On the surface, it sounds like we did the right thing by sticking to our old economy core business activities right?

Well that remains to be seen -- but I'm not so sure. Remember that if our trading partners are suffering, they will be less able to buy our primary exports. It could be that we're just (yet again) running well behind the rest of the world and will sooner or later catch the same economic malaise that is currently affecting the USA, UK, Japan and Australia.

Remember -- although the tech stocks are getting thrashed, it only looks as bad as it does because they were so incredibly over-inflated in value to start with. Where would modern business be without email, websites, e-commerce, etc?

My prediction: most tech stocks have almost bottomed. The market has almost finished venting its spleen at those companies whose value was blown up beyond belief by reckless investors and within six months sanity will return to the marketplace. People will wake up and realise that the tech sector is not magical or a road to rapid riches -- it's just another element of a healthy economy.

Calling All Banks
IDG published another story today in which they document the banks' attempts at dealing with online credit card fraud.

There's talk of PIN numbers and all sorts of extra complexity in an attempt to make it harder for online fraudsters to misuse other people's credit card details.

Well hell -- if there are any bankers reading this, please contact me. I do have a system in my list of "million dollar ideas" that could virtually eliminate online credit-card fraud without the need for strong encryption, PINs, card-readers or other complex and expensive add-ons.

Do I have to finally give in to the pressure that I've been under for the past four years and move to the USA to get this funded? I despair that such a valuable idea seems to be ignored by the local investor community and even the banks which stand to benefit so much when the scope and potential earnings (or savings) that such a system would generate are obvious.

What's even more frustrating is that the core technology required to implement this system is simple, proven and inexpensive to put in place. In fact the biggest problem with taking it to the USA will be the fact that it may fall below the minimum investment levels set by many VCs.

I rest my case that there is no hi-tech VC infrastructure in NZ.

From Yesterday
Thanks to all those readers who submitted suggestions on how small online publishers can make money on the Net.

Many lamented the lack of a micropayments system that would allow a pay-per-view kind of system to be implemented and a similar number suggested that reselling content to the print media or other sites might be an option.

Suffice to say there appears to be no "magic bullet" to turning an online publishing presence into a goldmine (although I still have a few ideas of my own so stay tuned and look for changes!).

As always, your feedback is welcomed.

Did you tell someone else about Aardvark today? If not then do it now!

Latest
Security Alerts
Another serious security flaw found in TCP (ZDNet - 12/03/2001)

MS warns of hole in Windows 2000 (ZDNet - 01/03/2001)

Beware Those Insidious Vcards (Wired - 23/02/2001t)

Java security hole could put some servers at risk ZDNet - 22/02/2001)

Latest
Virus Alerts
'Naked Wife' virus wreaks havoc on Internet (CNN - 07/03/2001)

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The Day's Top News
Open in New Window = open in new window
New Zealand

Open in New Window We're fighting e-fraud: banks
Banks maintain they are doing their part to guard against fraudulent internet credit-card transactions rebounding on online retailers...
IDG

Open in New Window NZ the loser on high-tech front
New Zealand is hurting itself with its failure to encourage the development of a high-tech manufacturing sector. That's the view of Richard Fell, director of Arizona State University's Corporate Leaders Programme...
NZ Herald

Other

Open in New Window Nasdaq dips under 2,000
Just 12 months after cresting above 5,000, the Nasdaq composite index sliced below 2,000 Monday afternoon on renewed fear that the economy's slowdown is not done crimping corporate profits...
CNNfn

Open in New Window Microsoft Adds EBay To Websites
EBay Inc. and Microsoft Corp. said Monday they have inked a strategic alliance to develop e-commerce applications and expand their Web presence...
TechWeb

Open in New Window Canadian Firm Uses Pig Latin to Fool Napster Block
A Canadian company has introduced software intended to help millions of frustrated Napster users to continue downloading free music, the National Post reported on Monday...
Yahoo

Open in New Window Popular e-mail encryption lacks group effort
Fewer than 10 million people use the most popular method for encrypting e-mail. That means everything else goes through regular e-mail, which is as private as a postcard...
CNet

Open in New Window Inside Russia's Hacking Culture
The world's greatest hackers and crackers live in Russia. That's the opinion of many security experts, who weren't surprised by a report claiming over 1 million credit card numbers were lifted from websites by Eastern Europeans last year...
Wired

Australia

Open in New Window Porn scams net millions
TELECOMS regulators have called on pornographers to cut legal jargon in their billing terms and conditions in an effort to reduce the number of internet users falling foul of "dumping" scams...
Australian IT

Open in New Window Telstra losing "tens of millions" online
Australia's largest telecoms group Telsta says its online ventures were losing millions of dollars a year and it would steer clear of investing in small technology firms in the future...
ZDNet

Open in New Window Telstra suffers ADSL, cable failures
Telstra is in crisis mode in Australia after the failure of both its ADSL service and the US-China undersea cable it uses...
IDG

Other

Open in New Window Another serious security flaw found in TCP
A security firm says ecurity vendor Guardent Inc. on Monday announced it has identified a potentially huge problem in the inner workings of the Internet's basic Transmission Control Protocol...
ZDNet

Open in New Window New report says ASP model isn't so gloomy after all
The ASP model still has a successful future as Web-enabled software becomes increasingly common and past mistakes are corrected...
ZDNet

Open in New Window 3D Browser Displays Multiple Pages
Impatient with current Internet browsers, architect Mike Rosen figured he could make data-handling easier by adding a new dimension...
Yahoo/AP

Open in New Window Suit accuses Oracle of duping shareholders
Oracle faces a shareholder lawsuit alleging that the No. 2 software maker misled investors about its third-quarter earnings prospects to let CEO Larry Ellison sell shares at a premium...
CNet


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Copyright © 2001, Bruce Simpson, free republication rights available on request

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