Note: This column represents the opinions
of the writer and as such, is not purported as fact
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Why is it that when it comes to technology we keep seeing the same headlines
promising wonderful new services and products yet those services and
products seem doomed to remain vaporware forever?
Take this story
in today's NZ Herald for example.
Wow -- high-speed internet over the power grid -- where have I heard that
before?
There have been numerous trials of such technology but, for some strange reason,
nobody is rolling it out on a nation-wide basis anywhere in the world as far
as I can tell.
Check Out The Aardvark PC-Based Digital
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From what I've been able to gather, it's always the same old story. Power
lines are a very noisy environment and the need to jump across transformers
at regular intervals makes the whole thing impractical.
Yet every few months we read that someone else is going to spend a small
fortune to find this out for themselves and that they're suggesting it
will be a technology we'll all be enjoying within a few short years.
Then there are OLEDs (organic light emitting devices) which have for nearly
two decades promised us bright, colourfull, flexible, efficient displays
that will make LCDs and regular CRT-based monitors obsolete.
In this case however, I see that Kodak has released a digital camera with
an OLED display -- but everyone else tells us that the technology is still
a few years away (as it has been for many years now).
Need another example?
How about electric cars...
Even though I have a 1960's edition of Popular Mechanics which contains
a story about the "new" Corvair electric car that will be in production
within a decade -- we're still waiting.
What's worse, I see that GE have actually withdrawn what was probably the
world's only truly viable electric car made by a major auto manufacturer.
And now Wired magazine expects us to believe that
hydrogen will save us
from a world where dependency on oil has us handcuffed.
I'm sorry but I don't believe it.
Just in case you aren't aware, hydrogen is a real sod of a gas from several
perspectives and isn't actually an energy source at all.
Firstly, although there may be an awful lot of it around (just look at all
that water our oceans hold) -- it's very expensive to separate into gaseous
form. Liberating hydrogen from water through electrolysis actually involves
using more energy than you get back by burning that gas. And you have to
ask "where will the energy for the electrolysis come from in the first place?"
The most practical method of producing hydrogen gas is to "crack" a
hydrocarbon such as methane or something a little heavier. I believe
that much of the hydrogen gas currently supplied is actually a by-product
of the refining of crude oil into lighter distillates -- so this won't
reduce our dependence on oil very much at all.
Then there's the problem of storing gaseous hydrogen.
Unfortunately the hydrogen molecule is a very small beast -- so small in fact
that it has little trouble in slipping between the molecules of other
materials. This problem is exacerbated by the fact that in order to store
any reasonable amount in a practical space (such as a car's fuel tank) you
need to subject it to enormous amounts of pressure. If you've ever noticed
how quickly a helium filled balloon deflates overnight you'll understand
the effect of tiny moleclues stored under pressure in leaky containers.
And of course -- pressurizing the gas requires the input of more energy.
What's worse -- hydrogen gas has the undesirable effect of making some metals
such as steel very brittle and subject to fracture. It's called hydrogen
embrittlement and is a real problem in some areas of the engineering industry.
Another storage method showing promise is the use of metallic hydrides - but
these are not without their own problems, usually requiring the addition of
considerable heat to liberate the hydrogen into a gaseous form, and being very
expensive to manufacture.
No, hydrogen is unlikely to become a practical fuel until such time as
we manage to come up with a method of producing true fusion.
In the meantime, hydrogen can only really be considered a medium for
storing energy we're getting from elsewhere -- and it's not even very
good at that.
Despite the promises -- don't expect to see any number of hydrogen-powered
vehicles on our roads for many decades to come and don't expect hydrogen
to become a real "fuel" at all.
Just more water-vaporware I'm afraid.
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