Note: This column represents the opinions
of the writer and as such, is not purported as fact
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The dot-com boom is now long gone and this has significantly dimmed most
people's prospects of getting filthy-rich by way of some new internet-based
venture.
If you're going to separate people from their cash using the net as a lever
then you'd better have something pretty special to offer them in return.
Well I think I know what that "special something" might be.
Just look at a couple of the stories being carried by the news wires
today:
Pre-Christmas spam is up from eight percent of all email last year to almost
40 percent of all email this time around.
Check Out The Aardvark PC-Based Digital
Entertainment Centre Project
Updated 2-Dec-2002
But I don't think I'm telling you anything new when I suggest that spam
is a very real and rapidly growing problem.
Then there's another revelation: the number of emails generated by, or containing
a virus have doubled in the past 12 months, with one in every 200 messages
now affected.
So can anyone guess the best way to make a squillion dollars on the Net?
Yes, that's right -- just invent a safer, more secure, spam-proof and virus-proof
alternative to the present email system.
Of course this is a huge ask, which is why nobody's been able to pull it off
yet.
The very reason that email is so effective is that virtually everyone who
uses the Net has an email address and, to be of use, an alternative
system must have the same universal acceptance.
For a little while it appeared as if the now ubiquitous instant messaging (IM)
services might just pull this off. ICQ was at one stage the most dominant
player by far and even I had the ICQ client sitting on my desktop -- it was
great!
But then spammers found out about it too and, without any simple way of
filtering spam, the signal to noise ratio gradually deteriorated. What's
worse, IM spam was even more annoying and had a far more disruptive effect
than email spam.
Then, to make matters worse, Yahoo and Microsoft both came out with competing
(and incompatible) IM products which effectively fractured the market so that there was only
a less than even chance the person you wanted to contact used the same
IM client as you.
Microsoft, and AOL (who by now owned ICQ) bitched and fought over the vexing
issue of interoperability and as a result a fabulous opportunity was lost.
Then, in true Microsoft style, just as their client was becoming dominant,
they screwed it up by introducing a few security holes that shattered people's
confidence in having this back door installed on their PC.
So where to from here?
Is it possible that an alternative to email could be devised in such a way
that spammers were locked out, viruses could not be unintentionally
transported, yet everyone you know could be contacted?
Well yes, I think so.
However, the biggest hurdle to the introduction of such a system would
be the email filtering and anti-virus companies. They have so much to lose
that you can bet they'd work very hard to prevent such a system succeeding -- and
then Microsoft would come along with their own version that would
not only fragment the market but introduce an endless line of security
holes.
On second thoughts -- we're all doomed! :-)
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