Note: This column represents the opinions
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Sometimes it's nice to sit back and contemplate how our lives and the world
would be changed if some of the long-promised improvements in science and
technology were actually delivered.
However, sometimes it's just downright frightening to imagine what might happen.
Take the issue of nuclear fusion for instance.
Practical, sustained nuclear fusion producing useful amounts of over-unity
energy have been "just a couple of decades away" for almost half a century
now but so far we're still very much in learning-mode.
But what would happen if a way was found to produce low-cost, high-efficiency
fusion reactors of a type that could be used to power industry, business,
domestic homes and even vehicles?
You might think it would be utopia -- almost limitless energy without
pollution and at a price far below that we're currently paying for
fossil-fuels and even hydro generation.
Unfortunately, given the nature of mankind, I suspect the result of
such a development would be far less pretty.
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Given that such a breakthrough would dramatically reduce the world's reliance
on oil reserves, major oil producers and exporters such as the Middle East,
Russia and the USA would be plunged into economic chaos.
I can't imagine that these nations would take such a threat to their prosperity
lying down -- and that could ultimately result in military conflict of a scale
rivaling the previous two world-wars.
Then there are the other effects that hugely increased energy production on
the surface of the planet might create.
Everyone's talking about global warming right now and the general consensus is
that it *is* a problem.
While it might be tempting to think that a switch away from fossil fuels and
the greenhouse gasses they produce would be a good thing -- that's not
necessarily so.
Our current levels of energy consumption are effectively controlled by the
price we're forced to pay for our fuels and electricity. Remove that constraint
and energy consumption would likely soar astronomically. Although fusion
would produce little in the way of environmentally harmful emissions -- it would
still create immense amounts of heat -- the ultimate endpoint for all energy
sources -- be it electrical or fossil.
The heating effect of many hundreds of millions or more small and large
fusion reactors, spewing out vast amounts of energy could have a very significant
effect on our climate. I don't know the quantum of such an effect but it's
hard to believe it would not be significant.
Finally, what would happen to one of the major sources of tax-revenues in
most western nations: fuel taxes?
I strongly suspect that governments would find themselves forced to hike
general taxes and those levied on other commodities -- potentially producing
significant civil outrage.
So, with Christmas rapidly approaching I have only one more thing to say
on the matter: Be careful what you wish for.
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