Note: This column represents the opinions
of the writer and as such, is not purported as fact
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As technology advances at an ever-quickening pace we tend to look forward
to all the new gizmos and gadgets that will soon shift from science-fiction
to every-day reality.
But what about all the cool inventions, gadgets and devices from yester-year
which have been rendered extinct by the inexorable advance of technology? Who
gives a thought to them?
Go back less than 30 years and the big-thing for data-storage at a microcomputer
level was the good old cassette player and interface. By plugging your audio
recorder into the side of your TRS80, Apple or other desktop microcomputer,
you could save and load programs and data -- if you were lucky.
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I say "if you were lucky" because as often as not, you'd wait for inexorably
long periods of time, only to have the computer display a terse message advising
that the transfer had failed -- and you'd have to start all over again.
Then came a wonderful invention -- the 5.25" floppy disk!
Woo-hoo! Cassette tapes for data storage were suddenly consigned to the
tech-scrapheap and floppies were all the rage.
The floppy evolved slowly (starting with an 8" 128Kbyte unit right through to
the 2.88MB 3.5" unit that never really caught on. The ultimate extension
of the floppy was the Zip disk -- a floppy that carried up to 100MB of data
but which brought back those "fingers crossed" days of cassette tape storage
when you prayed that you weren't hit by the infamous "click of death".
Now floppies are virtually dead and we've switched to either USB flash memory
or optical disks like CDR, CDRW and DVDR/RW. Yes, advancing technology has
killed off another one of yesterday's wonder-devices.
Just like the word-processor killed the carbon-paper industry, the relentless
advance of technology is also killing off some of its older progeny.
Digital cameras are in the process of killing film (despite what the photophiles
might claim -- it's only a matter of time), CDs have killed vinyl (despite what
the audiophiles might claim) and now the iPod along with Net-based downloads
look set to kill off the audio CD.
But if we look forward another 10 or 20 years, what everyday devices that we
now treasure and rely on will have also been relegated to the junkyard?
Will we still have mobile phones as we now know them? Will the CRT finally
be dead, replaced by OLEDs, electronic paper or some other technology?
Will our cars be fossil-fuel free, powered instead by electricity, the sun's
rays, or maybe even by using ten of those magnetic fuel savers all connected
in series :-)
Let's see how good you are...
Roll out your own predictions and forecasts. Aardvark has been publishing for
10 years already and it might be nice, in another 10 years' time, to look back
and see how accurate its readers are in using their crystal balls.
Go have your say in The Aardvark Forums
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