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It's a trend that was started by the Japanese some 35 years ago when they
began producing affordable transistor radios.
I'm talking about miniaturisation of course -- a process that has been applied
to just about everything electronic and seems to know no limits.
Just take a look at the latest and greatest cellphones -- they're tiny!
Even my cheap $99 Motorola phone is just 75mm x 35mm and this is a far
cry from the old "beige brick" that was my first mobile.
I suspect it won't be long before the current blue-tooth hands-free
units that look like something out of Star Trek actually contain the
entire workings of a mobile phone and will allow us all to wear our
phones as some now wear earrings or sunglasses.
But this miniaturisation isn't limited just to the ICs and other components
from which such devices are made -- even battery technology is getting smaller
and better.
Most cellphones now have lithium ion (or lithium polymer) batteries that have
vastly superior energy densities to the old nickel cadmium or even nickel
metal-hydride cells. Of course with high energy densities comes a degree
of risk and there are reports of people's cellphones exploding in their hands --
but fortunately these events are rare.
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So what has prompted me to write about miniaturisation?
Well on the weekend I had the chance to play with one of those little
miniature RC cars that sell for under $10 in The Warehouse.
I've got to say that these are astonishing pieces of miniaturisation -- both
in terms of their physical size and their price.
These things are tiny and it's very hard to believe what you're getting
for your $9.95.
They have steering (left/right) and forwards/backwards controls plus the
car has an inbuilt rechargeable battery that allows them to run for
several minutes on a single 60-second recharge.
When you consider that there's obviously a retail and wholesale profit
margin included in that retail price, it's very hard to see how anyone
could manufacture such a device for this trifling amount of money.
This spiraling reduction in size and cost is at least in part attributable
to Moore's law but it leaves me wondering...
If a mobile phone is now 1/10th the size and 1/10th the cost it was just
20 years ago, why am I actually paying *more* per minute to make a mobile call?
If the cost of electronics, especially new electronics, is plummeting at
such a rapid rate, why are we paying *more* for our phone-line rentals
than we were 20 years ago?
The answer we're likely to get to these questions will almost certainly be
"the cost of infrastructure maintenance and expansion" -- which sounds pretty
plausible, or does it?
There may be some light on the horizon though.
As I discovered when I traveled to the USA and UK last year, most mobile phone
networks offer a much lower price for intra-network calls than for calls to
other networks. In the UK especially, this difference can produce some incredibly
low per-minute charges, so long as you're calling someone who uses the same mobile
carrier as you.
Vodafone NZ have just launched a new plan that offers this differential pricing.
Unfortunately they seem to have taken a wrong-turn and decided that they'll
create that differential not so much by dropping their own Vodafone-to-Vodafone
call charges as by hiking the Vodafone to Telecom rate.
Sigh!
I wonder if Telecom will reciprocate (retaliate?) by doing the same?
Monopoly, duopoly -- there's not a whole lot of difference really.
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